Analysis

Dividends

Yield, growth, payout ratios and the traps between them.

Yield is the most misread number in investing. It is a ratio, and the fastest way to make it rise is for the share price to fall.

That single fact is behind most of the money lost by income investors. A screen sorted by highest yield is, very often, a list of companies the market has already decided cannot keep paying.

These articles take the income question apart. The guide to dividend investing is the place to start, then the individual pieces go deeper.

What the payout ratio predicts once you read it against cash flow rather than earnings. The warning signs that show up before a cut is announced, and the checklist that catches them. What the twenty-five year rule behind the Dividend Aristocrats really filters for. And a twenty-year projection that puts a high yielder against a fast grower to settle which one actually finishes ahead.

One thread runs through all of it. A dividend is paid out of cash the business has actually collected, so every article here ends up looking at cash flow rather than at reported earnings.

That is also the fastest way to tell a durable payer from a fragile one, long before a cut makes the news. The conclusion is not that dividends are good or bad. It is that a dividend is a decision a board takes every quarter, and it can be untaken the same way.

5 articles

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Dividend Investing: The Stock Picker's Guide

How to pick dividend stocks that keep paying: yield vs growth, payout ratios, traps, Aristocrats, and US taxes, with the numbers that matter at each step.